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NH: My background is in meteorology, geosciences and interdisciplinary studies. I have a Bachelor of Science in Interdisciplinary Studies from South Dakota State University. I completed a Master of Science in Geosciences with a concentration in Applied Meteorology from Mississippi State University in 2016. My education and research studies have been in the societal impacts of weather/climate, natural hazards, and advanced forecasting techniques. I also have a background in global climatology. I did undergraduate research into human decision-making in response to tornado warnings and graduate research in tropical cyclone impacts.

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ML: What is the most disturbing aspect of anthropogenic global warming that you are seeing today and what are its implications for the future?

NH: To me, the most disturbing aspect is the destruction of ice on the planet. It is commonly discussed among climate scientists that the planet has a high “inertia”. This means in natural climate change, there is typically a significant lag between what is happening in the atmosphere (rise in greenhouse emissions) and climate response (warming of the planet), forcing a more gradual temperature rise.

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Trends in sea ice thickness are another important indicator of Arctic climate change. While sea ice thickness observations are sparse, here we utilize the ocean and sea ice model, PIOMAS (Zhang and Rothrock, 2003), to visualize mean sea ice thickness from 1979 to 2019. Updated through February 2019. [Deps] Bulldoze Floating Lure 160mm 98 grams 12 - 6120

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ML: With the environmental damage that has already been put into the pipeline, modern organized human society may not survive this century and we are already seeing signs of this with the destruction caused by recent extreme weather events. The city of Beira in Mozambique, recently hit by Cyclone Idai, is said to be “the first city to be completely devastated by climate change.” Do you think it’s possible to transition to a net-zero carbon emission civilization within a brief period? Would this not require a radical reconfiguration of every sector of our economy and the way in which we treat each other and the environment?

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At 500 parts per million of equivalent carbon dioxide concentration, enough greenhouse gases are currently in the atmosphere to ultimately warm the planet 4-5 degrees C/7-9 F above 1700s temperatures, raise the sea level by 220 feet/67 meters (assuming 1 ppm CO2 equivalent = 1 ft sea level rise, based on past longer-term paleoclimate change response), remove significant amounts of soil moisture, leading to the destruction of agriculture. And this is without any other carbon releases or feedbacks. Building more in an attempt to maintain civilized society with high energy consumption makes this all worse.

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ML: There are around 454 nuclear reactors around the world with several dozen more currently under construction. At least 100 U.S., European and Asian nuclear power stations are built just [Duo] Deprive Jointed Swimbait 170mm 50 grams Slow Floating Lure CHAZ105 - 7585. With accelerated sea level rise and stronger storms on the horizon, we should be planning right now to decommission and close down these future nuclear disasters. What is your stance on nuclear energy?

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ML: What do you think about [Duo] Rough Trail Aomasa 188 SF 92 gram Floating Lure APA0411 - 1113 by scientists to dim the sun in order to reduce global warming and buy humanity more time to “fix” the problem? Proposed technology that could pull CO2 out of the atmosphere at the scale required is generally considered a [Duo] T-Shirt Going Beast Mode Dry Fit Short Sleeve Size S White - 0138 At what point do you think our civilization will lose faith in technology to solve all our problems?

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ML: In the recent extreme flooding in the U.S. Midwest, farmers suffered devastating losses with similar food shocks [Evergreen] P.E Line Bass Seil Flip & Frog Heavy Duty 100m 55lb - 5271 around the world. How do you see the world feeding itself in such an uncertain future, especially when industrial monoculture is actually increasing worldwide?

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We are entering a range of weather conditions not supportive of agriculture. And not simply monoculture. All agriculture. Even other ways of doing Ag require stable weather conditions, seasonality, soils and ability to conduct economic activity between peoples. None of this will be possible in these conditions. And that assumes the ecosystems which support agriculture also remain stable and available and that is not likely given the ongoing global extinction of insects.

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NASA before/after imagery of flooding near Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska.

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The Inconvenient Truth of Modern Civilization’s Inevitable Collapse

 

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While climate models incorporate important climate processes that can be well quantified, they do not include all of the processes that can contribute to feedbacks ([FCL Labo] Metal Jig MN 220 grams SGSLB - 0653), compound extreme events, and abrupt and/or irreversible changes. For this reason, future changes outside the range projected by climate models cannot be ruled out (very high confidence). Moreover, the systematic tendency of climate models to underestimate temperature change during warm paleoclimates suggests that climate models are more likely to underestimate than to overestimate the amount of long-term future change (medium confidence). ([FCL Labo] Metal Jig SD 175 grams SGSLP - 5789)

In a new ominous research finding, the evil twin of climate change([FCL Labo] Popper Pencil Nasup 195 Floating Lure 91 grams BY - 5044) is threatening the base of the marine food chain by disrupting the production of phytoplankton. This is yet another positive feedback loop increasing the rate of global warming. Climate feedback loops and ice sheet modeling are two weak areas of climate science, which means many unpleasant surprises. This is why researchers are constantly astonished. Adaptation is not a luxury most organisms have at the present rates of change. Techno-fixes are but a [Feed] Lures Cone 150 Hand Made Wood Popper Floating Lure 150 grams 25 - 7025.

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A diet reliant on animal agriculture is one of the largest contributors to greenhouse gases, biodiversity loss, and [Fisherman] Reel Case for Daiwa Saltiga Shimano Stella Red M - 0027, yet global per capita meat consumption is increasing rapidly in both developing and industrialized countries. Investments have been made to increase global plastic production by [Gamakatsu] Treble Hook GT Recorder 24 Size 5 0 - 2565, even as all the world’s natural bodies of water become [Gan Craft] Jointed Claw 178 Sinking Jointed Lure AS-15 - 0601. Coca Cola alone produces 110 billion throwaway plastic bottles every year – an astounding 3,400 a second. [Gear Labo] Metal Jig Fast Flip 210 grams bluee Pink - 1617 is another massive contributor that cannot be overstated. Half of all plastics have been made in just the last thirteen years. Over 90% of the so-called purified bottled water sold to the public has been shown to be contaminated with hundreds and even thousands of microplastic pieces. A byproduct of petroleum and the epitome of our throw-away society, plastics have truly become [Ima] T Shirt Long Sleeve Box Logo White Size L - 6903, entering the [Imakatsu] IK SG Plus Bassroid 3D Realism Floating Lure 559 - 5439 at every level.

A study published last year pulls no punches by describing the mass extermination of billions of animals in recent decades as a “biological annihilation.” Extinction risks for many species are [Jumprize] Lalapen 150F Floating Lure - 5704. Insects, the base of the terrestrial food chain, are faring no better. With the steep loss of invertebrates, [Megabass] Vatalion Floating Vibration Lure Mat Tiger - 8257 indicate the world is “on course for an ecological Armageddon”. Trees are dying at an unprecedented rate from extreme weather events, portending profound effects to Earth’s carbon cycle. Coral bleaching events are now happening [NearMint] Shimano CALCUTTA CONQUEST 1001F LH Baitcasting Reel than a few decades ago. Dr Charlie Veron, a renowned scientist specializing in corals and reefs, said this last year:

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“It’s going to be a horrible world. Young people now are going to curse the present generation for what we’ve done. We’ll have left them a planet in dire straits.’’

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